Harvard
W-L: (17-12) PR = 95.2163Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A MIT 79-50 1109 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 86-75 1111 H Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 60-77 1115 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 75-52 1116 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 56-54 1119 H Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 80-84 1122 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 74-75 1126 H Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 60-73 1129 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 56-53 1203 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 71-78 1206 H Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 69-79 1220 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 81-53 1223 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 59-85 1228 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 78-69 105 H Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 68-76 110 A Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 79-54 117 A PRIN 87-80 119 A Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 64-63 124 H Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 79-86 130 A Brown IVY ( 9-18, 94.0) 69-59 131 A Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 67-65 207 A Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 71-58 213 A Brown IVY ( 9-18, 94.0) 56-53 214 H Yale IVY (24- 7, 96.3) 75-76 221 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 73-54 227 A Princeton IVY ( 9-19, 94.5) 58-56 228 H Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 61-64 306 A Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 81-71 314 H Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 60-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1109 A New Hamp. 86-75 11 2 0.06
1111 H Northeastern 60-77 -17 1 - -3.12
1115 A Army 75-52 23 2 0.34
1116 A Marist 56-54 2 0 1.97
1119 H Penn St 80-84 -4 -1 -1.00
1122 H Boston Univ 74-75 -1 1 -1.94
1126 H Boston Col 60-73 -13 0 -1.52
1129 A Bryant 56-53 3 2 0.12
1203 H Mass 71-78 -7 0 -1.74
1206 H Furman 69-79 -10 0 -1.86
1220 A Holy Cross 81-53 28 2 0.42
1223 H St. John's 59-85 -26 -3 0.00
1228 A Colgate 78-69 9 1 1.50
105 H Dartmouth 68-76 -8 1 - -2.84
110 A Columbia 79-54 25 0 1.94
119 A Pennsylvania 64-63 1 -1 1.59
124 H Cornell 79-86 -7 0 - -2.11
130 A Brown 69-59 10 1 0.75
131 A Yale 67-65 2 -1 + 3.13
207 A Dartmouth 71-58 13 1 1.18
213 A Brown 56-53 3 1 0.75
214 H Yale 75-76 -1 -1 0.11
221 A Cornell 73-54 19 0 1.91
227 A Princeton 58-56 2 1 1.27
228 H Pennsylvania 61-64 -3 -1 -1.43
306 A Columbia 81-71 10 0 1.94
314 H Pennsylvania 60-62 -2 -1 -1.43
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 H Northeastern 60-77 -17 1 - -3.12 105 H Dartmouth 68-76 -8 1 - -2.84 124 H Cornell 79-86 -7 0 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 131 A Yale 67-65 2 -1 + 3.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 86-75 -6.63 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 H Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 60-77 -5.79 1.68 -0.01 1.22 -3.55
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 75-52 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.22 2.78
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 56-54 -4.73 2.75 0.01 1.22 6.75
3 H Penn St (12-20, 96.2) 80-84 -3.68 3.80 -0.01 1.22 -2.25
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 74-75 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.22 -3.43
3 H Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 60-73 -4.19 3.29 -0.01 1.22 -2.57
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 56-53 -6.57 1.00 0.01 1.22 2.47
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 71-78 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.22 -2.71
3 H Furman (23-13, 95.4) 69-79 -4.53 2.95 -0.01 1.22 -2.78
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 81-53 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.22 2.96
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 59-85 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 1.22 -0.74
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 78-69 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.22 5.60
3 H Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 68-76 -5.51 1.97 -0.01 1.22 -3.38
3 A Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 79-54 -4.75 2.72 0.01 1.22 6.68
3 A Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 64-63 -4.10 3.37 0.01 1.22 8.27
3 H Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 79-86 -4.78 2.70 -0.01 1.22 -2.93
3 A Brown ( 9-18, 94.0) 69-59 -5.94 1.54 0.01 1.22 3.78
3 A Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 67-65 -3.57 3.91 0.01 1.22 9.58
3 A Dartmouth (11-16, 94.4) 71-58 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.22 4.83
3 A Brown ( 9-18, 94.0) 56-53 -5.94 1.54 0.01 1.22 3.78
3 H Yale (24- 7, 96.3) 75-76 -3.57 3.91 -0.01 1.22 -2.19
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 73-54 -4.78 2.70 0.01 1.22 6.62
3 A Princeton ( 9-19, 94.5) 58-56 -5.43 2.05 0.01 1.22 5.04
3 H Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 61-64 -4.10 3.37 -0.01 1.22 -2.51
3 A Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 81-71 -4.75 2.72 0.01 1.22 6.68
3 H Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 60-62 -4.10 3.37 -0.01 1.22 -2.51
------
46.74
|
winning pts = 78.2852 losing points = -31.5462
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------